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Coinbase Traders Brace for FOMC Impact as Bitcoin Approaches Cycle Top

Coinbase Traders Brace for FOMC Impact as Bitcoin Approaches Cycle Top

Published:
2025-07-30 09:05:17
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Cryptocurrency markets are exhibiting cautious behavior ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with Bitcoin's price action showing similarities to historical cycle tops. Key on-chain metrics such as the Coinbase Premium Gap and MVRV Ratio are aligning with patterns observed at previous market peaks, while trading volumes continue to decline. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's extended pause on interest rate cuts is adding to the market's uncertainty, potentially influencing Bitcoin's trajectory as it nears its all-time high. Traders on Coinbase and other platforms are adopting defensive strategies in response to these developments, reflecting broader concerns about macroeconomic factors impacting crypto valuations. This confluence of technical indicators and macroeconomic headwinds suggests a critical juncture for Bitcoin and the wider digital asset market as investors weigh the potential for a significant correction against the backdrop of institutional adoption and long-term bullish fundamentals.

FOMC Meeting Spurs Caution in Crypto Markets as Bitcoin Nears Historical Peak

Crypto traders are adopting a defensive stance ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with Bitcoin's price action mirroring historical cycle tops. The Coinbase Premium Gap and MVRV Ratio—key on-chain metrics—now align with patterns observed at previous market peaks, coinciding with dwindling trading volumes.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's prolonged pause on rate cuts continues to weigh on digital assets, with CME FedWatch data indicating a 96% probability of unchanged rates this month. Yet markets still price in two potential cuts by year-end. Political pressure mounts as former President Trump's recent Fed visit fuels speculation about monetary policy shifts.

Notably, $9 billion in crypto assets moved by early bitcoin holders signals potential distribution, while analysts debate whether altcoin season could emerge from BTC's consolidation. The housing market's fragility adds macroeconomic uncertainty, creating headwinds for risk assets.

ARK Invest Shifts Portfolio: Buys Into BitMine and Nvidia, Exits Coinbase and Robinhood

Cathie Wood's ARK Invest made significant portfolio adjustments this week, doubling down on BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) and Nvidia (NVDA) while divesting from crypto-centric stocks. The firm acquired 572,853 BMNR shares valued at $20 million, increasing exposure to what Wood sees as a key player in Ethereum's DeFi ecosystem. BitMine now holds over $2.1 billion in ETH treasury assets.

Nvidia positions were bolstered as the chipmaker's stock continues breaking records, reflecting ARK's confidence in AI infrastructure plays. Meanwhile, the fund liquidated stakes in Coinbase (COIN), Robinhood (HOOD), and Block Inc. (XYZ) - a MOVE that suggests strategic reallocation rather than sector abandonment.

The purchases were split between ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) with $14 million in BMNR shares and Ark Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) adding $4.5 million. BitMine now represents 0.193% and 0.194% of these funds respectively, signaling measured but growing conviction in Tom Lee-backed ethereum infrastructure plays.

3 Top Crypto Stocks To Watch This Week as Multiple Altcoins Eye ATH

Market Optimism surges as crypto stocks HODL, MSTR, and COIN ride the wave of a broader digital asset rally. Sol Strategies Inc (HODL) leads the pack with a 576% annual gain despite recent pullbacks, while altcoins across the board test resistance levels.

Investors are diversifying exposure through equity vehicles like Sol Strategies' Solana-focused treasury products and Coinbase's trading infrastructure. The Canadian firm's $1.8 million March revenue and NASDAQ ambitions signal institutional maturation of crypto markets.

Solana ecosystem tokens show particular strength as HODL's 33% single-day bounce demonstrates the volatility premium in crypto-correlated equities. Market participants anticipate breakout attempts from mid-cap altcoins as Bitcoin dominance wavers.

5 Signs Bitcoin Price May Be in Trouble As Altcoins Gain Ground

Bitcoin's market dominance shows cracks as capital rotates toward Ethereum and altcoins. The Coinbase premium—a key indicator of U.S. investor demand—has turned negative after 60 consecutive days of positive activity. Historically, waning American interest precedes bearish momentum for BTC.

Ethereum ETFs now attract 25 times more inflows than Bitcoin products, accelerating a sector-wide shift. Chart patterns mirror the 2017-18 cycle, when altcoins decoupled from BTC during market downturns. While Bitcoin retains its reputation as crypto's flagship asset, ETH and smaller tokens are capturing an increasing share of institutional and retail attention.

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